Latif predicts that in the next few years a natural cooling trend will dominate the warming caused by humans. The cooling would be down to cyclical changes in the atmosphere and ocean currents in the North Atlantic, known as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Atlantic Meridional Oscillation (AMO).
All sorts of terrible reporting has spread around the mainstream media about what Mojib Latif apparently said — except he didn’t.
It really is revolting how dishonest the climate sceptics can get. It’s downright disgusting. The irony of all this is that Mojib Latif was ACTUALLY making a point about how backward media reporting is on climate science, and then a media fire-storm starts straight after his talk!
If I was to rename Mojib’s talk it would be: “The real life climate complexities Denialists and the media don’t want to accept, causing Cherry picking”.
“Cherry picking is the act of pointing at individual cases or data that seem to confirm a particular position, while ignoring a significant portion of related cases or data that may contradict that position.”
Which can simply be quoting out of context. It’s still cherry picking! Denialists could be quoting directly from the IPCC for all I care, but the moment they zoom in and choose the few wiggles on a line that suit their point, while ignoring all the other data, they’ve Cherry-picked! That’s whether they’re arguing it has been cooling since 1998 (when it is the hottest decade on record), or trying to say global warming is bunk from a few choice paragraphs from Mojib’s talk, taken totally out of context.
Mojib said the media have a simplistic view of climate change that sees it as a:
“slowly evolving process, and monotonic process, okay, so each year is warmer than the preceding year”.
It’s as if Denialists (or the media) believe temperature increases will ALWAYS correlate EXACTLY to rises in Co2, which is a retarded straw-man characterisation of the real complexities of climate science.
Just watching Mojib’s talk above on Youtube will clarify that this is what he meant. However, if there was any further doubt DeepClimate.org interviewed Mojib via email and completely undermines the mis-reporting that has spread to even important journals like New Scientist. Enjoy.
what I said is that the cooling in the Atlantic and Pacific may offsset global warming for a decade so that there may be not much of an additional warming. I showed a prediction that was published last year in the science magazine “nature”. I also pointed out that the British group issued a competing forecast for the next decade. They predict that global warming will continue at the rate of the last decades. Thus, and I made this very clear, there is quite some uncertainty about the short-term evolution. Yet we all agree that in the long run, say by 2050 and thereafter, the earth will considerably warm, if we do not considerably reduce global greenhouse gas emissions.
[DC],we showed the graph more than a decade ahead to see how long the effect of the initial conditions lasts. It is a forecast, but as I pointed out, we do not have much skill at longer lead times. It may well be that the warming will be even stronger.Mojib.