Sceptics v denial

“The first is to doubt and question, and the second is to listen to the answer,” he said. “Sometimes that requires some intellectual hard yards and I think some people who call themselves sceptics don’t want to do those hard yards. Calling themselves sceptics is a badge of honour they haven’t earned.”

Barry Jones, former science ministerthinkers

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How to feed the world

Giant kelp farms could feed the world.

Bren Smith has pioneered what he calls ‘3D ocean farming’ (or vertical kelp farming) to feed the world. *

  • Kelp can be eaten in various ice-creams, salads, and dried or fried snacks.
  • The base of the kelp farm can grow all the shellfish and oysters we could want.
  • Kelp farms encourage other fish and ocean creatures to grow, stimulating the ocean ecosystem and creating a larger fish catch.
  •  It soaks up nutrient pollution that causes dead zones, and returns some of those NPK nutrients back to our land or soils if we harvest the kelp for fertiliser!
  • About 2% of the world’s oceans have enough nutrients to grow kelp, but the actual area required to actually feed the world is far less. The oceans are 361.9 million km2, and 2% of that is 7.2 MILLION km2). But the area required to feed the world is only about 180,00 km! (See quote below). That means the nutrient rich 2% of the world’s oceans are 40 times larger than we need to feed today’s population!
    • “Seaweed farms alone have the capacity to grow massive amounts of nutrient-rich food. Professor Ronald Osinga at Wageningen University in the Netherlands has calculated that a global network of “sea-vegetable” farms totaling 180,000 square kilometers — roughly the size of Washington state — could provide enough protein for the entire world population. The goal, according to chef Dan Barber — named one of the world’s most influential people by Time and a hero of the organic food movement — is to create a world where “farms restore instead of deplete” and allow “every community to feed itself.”But here is the real kicker: Because they require no fresh water, no deforestation, and no fertilizer — all significant downsides to land-based farming — these ocean farms promise to be more sustainable than even the most environmentally-sensitive traditional farms.”
  • Bren Smith’s TED talk is on youtube

  • He’s so serious about his vision for feeding the world that he has open-sourced his farming system.
  • Kelp could also act as a biomass feedstock for the vat-grown meats that are starting to come down in price and will soon be competitive with normal meat from animals.
  • IF that worked, it means we could stop farming all our meat livestock and return a third of the (non-ice) land on earth to nature, getting all our protein from kelp from the sea & vat-grown meat!
  • Kelp could also be biocharred to help improve soil quality, which would reduce the water and nutrients required to grow our crops. The bottom line? Could kelp be the silver bullet that will fertilise all our agricultural needs and replace all our grazing needs? Could kelp give us all the seafood and wheat and rice and lamb and chicken and beef and turkey that the world could ever want, without killing any animals and returning all that grazing land back to nature? (Which is a third of the non-ice surface of the earth!)
  • Could kelp be the silver bullet to feed the world?

It gets more fantastic than ‘just’ feeding the world!

  • Tim Flannery (Australian of the year and member of the Australian Climate Council) discusses a paper about super-giant kelp farms that cover 9% of the world’s oceans. But as we have seen, the problem is only 2% of the world’s oceans have enough nutrients (from erosion or oceanic upwelling) to grow kelp. Where do the extra nutrients come from for a patch of ocean the size of the African continent? In-situ recycling, they claim. First they farm the nutrient rich waters. Then a previous season’s kelp is biodigested in big submersible bags to collect methane gas out the top, leaving the digested kelp nutrients behind. These are then recycled into slow drip feed hoses and ‘tea-bags’ that slowly fertilise the kelp in what would otherwise be nutrient poor water. They claim we can recycle nutrients and grow kelp out in the open ocean, away from the continents or ocean upwelling areas. But I find it hard to believe that nutrients can be recycled in situ like this without the ocean just washing it away too quickly to be absorbed? That seems to be the crux of the matter, and I have no way  of testing the claim.
  • IF it works, the results could be amazing!:-
  • half a kilogram of seafood per person per day, to feed a world of 10 billion people!
  • all the biofuels and biogas we could need to replace fossil fuels and provide the ultimate backup to wind and solar power
  • remove ocean acidity
  • restore our atmosphere to 350ppm by 2085
  • In other words, is seaweed farming a silver bullet to feed the world, save the oceans, and save us from climate change?
  • It’s all in this free PDF. “Negative carbon via Ocean Afforestation”. Just register, and download it for free.
  • I still think we’ll need abundant reliable electricity from nuclear power, as the in-situ nutrient recycling above sounds dubious. But even if we could only farm Bren Smith’s way and at least feed the world from the oceans, let alone going to the full Tim Flannery 9%, would not that be an amazing break for the environment?
Posted in Biofuels, Ethanol, Food, Ocean | Leave a comment

The African Union’s first real success?

GO AU! In solving the Gambian constitutional crisis of 2016, you’ve taken your first step on the proverbial journey of a million miles towards a “United States of Africa”. Go team! May this increase peace and prosperity for a continent with some very sad history.

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Vox piece so good it restructured my blog

Hi all, search.pngVox news wrote such a good summary of the state of various 100% renewable energy reports, that I had to restructure my renewables page and subpages to fit it! You’ll see a new Renewables tab with my various summary pages underneath. I think this layout helps, and I hope to be updating some of these tired old pages with new data soon.

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Global warming moves pests

It just gets better! “Mass migration of species to cooler climes has profound implications for society, pushing disease-carrying insects, crop pests and crucial pollinators into new areas, says international team of scientists”
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Trump, the gift that keeps on giving

“Trump stated that the US had 1.5 times the oil of all Opec countries combined. But at the end of 2014, the US had proven reserves of just under 40bn barrels, while Saudi Arabia alone had proven reserves of 268bn barrels.”
Note that America uses 7 billion barrels of oil a year, so that 40bn barrels reserve only equals about 6 years oil. Sure, it could be stretched out to last longer as they buy oil from other places and can use fracking to displace some, but that’s not what Trump promised. He promised total  energy independence! Good luck with that mate!
Posted in Peak Oil | 2 Comments

ITS: should have gone to wikipedia first!

Hi all,

apologies for hypothesising about the first Space X mission to Mars when it’s all spelt out on wikipedia! Pretty much bears out what I was guessing, anyway. Once those first few supply & base building ships have done their job, the ITS becomes “Mars Rail”. 🙂 Over to wikipedia.

Mars early missions

Musk has indicated that the earliest SpaceX-sponsored missions would have a smaller crew and use much of the pressurized space for cargo. The first cargo mission of the Interplanetary Spaceship would be named “Heart of Gold” and would be loaded with equipment to build the propellant plant.[33]

The first crewed Mars mission would be expected to have approximately 12 people, with the primary goal to “build out and troubleshoot the propellant plant and Mars Base Alpha power system” as well as a” rudimentary base.” In the event of an emergency, the spaceship would be able to return to Earth without having to wait a full 26 months for the next synodic period.[33]

Before any people are transported to Mars, some number of cargo missions would be undertaken first in order to transport the requisite equipment, habitats and supplies.[38] Equipment that would accompany the early groups would include “machines to produce fertilizer, methane and oxygen from Mars’ atmospheric nitrogen and carbon dioxide and the planet’s subsurface water ice” as well as construction materials to build transparent domes for crop growth.[13]

The early concepts for “green living space” habitats include glass panes with a carbon-fiber-frame geodesic domes, and “a lot of miner/tunneling droids [for building] out a huge amount of pressurized space for industrial operations.” But these are merely conceptual and not a detailed design plan.[33]

(Image for fun, and not part of the wikipedia Space X page)assignment-intro-1.jpg

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